Flood (high-flow) days (FD)

There is almost no change in the number of days with flows above the long-term 90th percentile (Figure 13). The 95th percentile of absolute change is at most a reduction of 1 day of high-flow conditions.

Figure 13 Predictive distribution of (a) maximum raw change (amax), (b) maximum percent change (pmax) and (c) year of maximum change (tmax) for the number of flood (high-flow) days (FD)

d/s = downstream of; u/s = upstream of

The circle indicates the median of the posterior predictive distribution, the length of the thick vertical line spans the interquartile range (or 50th percentile prediction interval), and the thin vertical line spans the 90th percentile prediction interval. Nodes are grouped per catchment, ordered from upstream to downstream.

Data: Bioregional Assessment Programme (Dataset 2)